Category Archives: Cancer medicine (Oncology)

Overselling technology, Avastin and Circulating Tumor Cells

For years, since the Nixon war on cancer, we’ve oversold our ability to treat cancer. This tendency continues today.

Health Affairs blog has a piece from the Manhattan Institute’s Paul Howard that criticizes the FDA’s revocation of the use of Avastin in breast cancer.  His point seems to be that the drug which in clinical trials has been shown not to improve survival and have significant toxicity appears to work in a small subset of patients.  At present, however, we have no reliable means of determining who will respond and who will only get side-effects.  This in a drug costing between $50,000 and $100,000/year.

The American Cancer Society’s Deputy Medical director Len Lichtenfeld has noted:

“But it is important to understand the decision was based on the advice of an independent panel of experts who noted that larger studies showed some women lives were actually shortened on the drug and that toxicities associated with the drug were significant,” Lichtenfeld says. “Meanwhile, the net benefit for women taking the drug was quite modest.”

“What we clearly need is a way for doctors to more accurately predict which women will have a better chance of benefiting from this important targeted therapy,” Lichtenfeld says. “Until that tool is developed, giving all women with metastatic breast cancer Avastin may harm more women than it helps.”

Howard also talks of using tests for circulating tumor cells (CTC’s) as a way to:

screen for cancer that can replace expensive or invasive tests like mammograms or colonoscopies; to tailor cancer treatments and adjust them based on how many or what type of CTCs are found in a patient’s bloodstream; or make physicians more comfortable adopting a “watch and wait” approach for elderly patients in cases where the underlying cancer may grow so slowly that it will never become life-threatening.

His analysis of the test is  incorrect.  While it may be useful in identifying those with more serious disease it does not appear to have utility as a screening test for early cancer.  When a tumor has reached the point that it’s cancerous cells are in the blood stream, the tumor is not  early  but rather one that is at high risk to  have spread and  metastasize.  I know of no study suggesting use of  CTC’s as a marker or screening test for early cancer–the ones most amenable to being cured.

Medicynical Note:  It would be of interest to know of Mr. Howard’s and Manhattan Institute’s pharmaceutical industry support.

Herceptin, Tykurb in Breast Cancer : What wasn’t reported

Tis the season of the San Antonio Breast Conference and the season of overstatements–most often by people with drug company ties.

There was an interesting report on combining Herceptin (trastuzumab) and Tykurb (lapatinib) in Her2neu positive breast cancers.

The report studies neoadjuvant use of targeted treatment in breast cancer. That is, treatment prior to surgery with the goal of shrink tumors, making breast conservation more possible and hopefully improving patient survival.

What wasn’t noted in the report:

1. Neoadjuvant therapy with conventional drugs alone results in drug shrinkage and complete response in about 25% of patients,and improves breast conservation rates, but shows no survival advantage after several years study.
2. Neo adjuvant treatment including Tykurb and Herceptin (the current study) shows shrinkage of tumors and improved ability to do breast conservation surgery. BUT, despite the hooplah, no survival studies have been completed. It is not known whether the drugs actually improve survival.
3. The drugs are only effective when used on the small group, 15-20% of breast cancer patients, who have overexpression of Her 2 neu.
4. The cost of the two drugs in combination is at least $10,000/month, probably more. Added to the other drugs used, doctors fees the cost for this treatment is probably around $20,000/month.

Medicynical Note: I recall a patient of mine who informed me, when told he would have to pay $38/pill for a new anti-nausea drug, that he’d rather throw up than pay that. He seems somewhat prosaic given the current inflation of cancer drug costs.

You better believe that cost is a major issue, particularly in a non-system that is bankrupting us. In what other area of consumer commerce would $20,000/month be spent?

In this study half the patients apparently have little or no response. So let me rephrase the question. In what other area of consumer commerce would $20,000/month be spent on a product which only works half the time (if every one of the responding patients lived longer, which is extremely doubtful). Consider also the impact of 13 months treatment at $20,000/month (4 months pre-surgery and 9 months post), that is $260,000 for drugs alone–not counting the costs for the 50% of patients that don’t respond, a minimum it seems of 4 months of treatment, $80,000.

The issue now and in the future is likely cost. Who will pay? How? A further issue is how can an industry produce and market drugs so inefficiently that costs are so high?

Why We Need Comparison Studies — Zometa, Aromatase Inhibitors

Zoledronic Acid (Zometa)and here

Zometa did not appear to prevent breast cancer from returning or to boost disease-free survival overall. Medicynical Note: This drug costs in the range of $1000/month.

Aromatase Inhibitors:

Aromatase inhibitors appear to increase the risk of cardiac events among women being treated for breast cancer, an analysis of several studies showed.

The relative risk of suffering a cardiovascular event increased 26% (P≤0.01); however, that excess risk can be mitigated if a woman is treated with tamoxifen first and then switches to an aromatase inhibitor, according to Eitan Amir, MD, of the Princess Margaret Hospital in Toronto.

Medicynical Note: Those opposing such studies claim they are tantamount to having “death panels.” Such studies they say would restrict access to treatments.

On the other hand authorizing use of drugs that are expensive and do no good, or even do harm is criminal, given our expensive non-system of care.

Lastly it should be pointed out that there is no bar to people paying for drugs themselves if their insurer refuses payment.

Urologist Owned Radiation Facility (IMRT) = Expensive Conflict of Interest

WSJ notes the overuse of IMRT (intensity modulated ratiation therapy) at great cost to patients, medicare, other insurers and our health care non-system.

In recent years a number of urology groups have puchased and own radiation centers. The result is costly self referrals and obvious conflicts of interest. Here’s how it works.

urologists buy radiation equipment and hire radiation oncologists to administer it. They then refer their patients to their in-house staff for treatment. The bulk of Medicare’s reimbursements goes to the urologists as owners of the equipment.

The problem is not patient outcomes or fewer complications but rather overuse of an effective form of treatment to the financial benefit of the providers.

Asked during the interview what proportion of its prostate-cancer patients Integrated Medical treats with IMRT, Dr. Kapoor said he didn’t track such data closely, but said he would be “comfortable” with an estimate of “one out of six,” or 17%.

An analysis of Integrated Medical’s Medicare claims later performed for the Journal suggested a much higher rate. Between its launch in mid-2006 and the end of 2008, Integrated Medical administered IMRT to 601, or 53%, of 1,132 Medicare patients recently diagnosed with prostate cancer, the Journal analysis found.

Integrated Medical received $26.7 million from Medicare for the care of those 601 patients, according to the Journal’s calculations. If Integrated Medical’s urologists hadn’t owned radiation equipment and had referred these patients for radiation treatment outside of their practice, Medicare would have paid them only $2.6 million. Medicynical note: The data on treatment of patients over 80 discussed in the WSJ article is particularly damning.

The sales pitch to urologists considering buying such a radiation facility predicts an income of $425,000/doctor from incorporating such a unit in his/her practice.

Medicynical Note: This behavior falls into a loop hole of the Stark provisions against self referral. Read the article for a more complete explanation. The doctor’s position that their treatment decisions are based solely on patient benefit would be more defensible if they did not participate in the entire revenue stream and if the radiation modality did not appear to be overused.

What’s depressing is that there seems no incentive to provide care at a more reasonable price (value).   Rather than take a cut in the  generous $425,000/year doctor profit  (this in addition to his/her other fees) these providers stick it  to our failing health care non-system.

With everyone at every level  concerned with  maximizing profit, is it any wonder that we spend 17% of GDP on health?  That our health care insurance system is failing? and that we can no longer afford it!

This is going on during a disastrous financial downturn.  But then again considering the behavior of our financial sector, maybe it’s a natural consequence of a medical establishment whose primary goal seems to be monetary rather than medical.


Campath for Multiple Sclerosis — A Primer on Drug Marketing

This from Bnet is enough to make a Medicynic’s day:

If Campath is approved for MS, Genzyme would face several choices, both moral and economic:

It could rebrand Campath as an MS drug and sell it in MS-dose-sized ampules for thousands of dollars more. But that would lead to an uproar from MS sufferers who would know they’re being exploited. And it might lead to doctors splitting up 30mg ampules intended for CLL patients and diverting the supply to MS patients.

It could leave Campath at the same price for CLL — but that would destroy the existing MS drug market and drug companies are generally loathe to implode lucrative disease categories when they present themselves.

It could withdraw the drug completely for CLL but promise to continue supplying those patients free of charge, and then relaunch Campath as an expensive MS-only product. That might prevent MS patients migrating to diverted CLL doses, but it would also be controversial.

Medicynic: How about providing an effective drug at minimal cost

Palliative Care: Improved Outcomes in Metatstatic lung cancer

An article and editorial in this week’s NEJM on the beneficial effect of early use of palliative supportive care on survival in metastatic lung cancer.

The editorial notes;

The specific components of the study’s palliative care intervention remain unspecified and hence may not be easily reproducible in other practice settings. For example, the salutary effect of additional time with and attention from health care providers and physicians, as opposed to a specific benefit derived from palliative care itself, was not assessed and is a limitation of the study. The reasons for the 2.7-month survival benefit in the palliative care group — a benefit that is equivalent to that achieved with a response to standard chemotherapy regimens — are unknown but may result from effective treatment of depression, improved management of symptoms, or a reduction in the need for hospitalization.

Medicynical note: A 2.7 month survival benefit is, as noted, equal or better to that achieved not only with standard chemotherapy but also to that (if any) attained with the newer super expensive targeted agents. For example with Avastin at nearly $100,000/year –“The median survival was 12.3 months in the group assigned to chemotherapy plus bevacizumab, as compared with 10.3 months in the chemotherapy-alone group (hazard ratio for death, 0.79; P=0.003).” –an improvement of just 2 months. (NEJM 2006;355:2542-2550)

This is however a small study and the results need confirmation, perhaps with more detail on the palliative interventions used. Cost would be of interest as well.


What they didn’t tell you about Provenge (sipuleucel-T)

In the past year there have been several notable, and expensive, reconsiderations of drugs. Erythropoietin after years of use and billions spent was shown to worsen outcomes and Avastin in breast cancer, again after billions spent, was shown to do nothing to improve outcome.

It’s therefore a medicynical imperative to look at new drugs and their reported efficacy and cost.

Provenge (sipuleucel-T) has been greeted with great enthusiasm. It  does offer “hope” for certain prostate cancer victims.

When one reads the small print of the studies that resulted in FDA approval (July 29, 2010 NEJM), it turns out that the drug has very limited benefit especially considering the cost ($93,000) for one month’s treatment.

The Kaplan-Meier survival curves tells the tale. (see the article for the shape of the curve) The following summarizes that data:

No. Patients at         0            12        24          36         48         60
Risk in months

Sipuleucel-T           341          274    129          49           14          1
Placebo                    171           123      55          19            4           1

When comparing the surviving cohorts note that there was a 2:1 randomization.

From the small numbers in the study it’s apparent that a very small difference in the selection or disease biology in just a few patients  could account for the survival “differences.”  Consider at 1 year the difference taking into account the 2:1 randomization is just 28 patients, at two years 19 patients and at 36 months just 10.  At 60 months one patient survived in each group.  Another way of putting it is that for the $93,000/patient cost or 33 million dollars for the entire group treated,   at one year there was a mere 28 patient differential in survival between the treated and placeobo.  That’s a cost of over a million dollars a patient for the benefit at one year.

There are other problems with the study as noted in the accompanying editorial:

The median survival was 25.8 months in the sipuleucel-T group, as compared with 21.7 months in the placebo group (unadjusted hazard ratio for death in the sipuleucel-T group, 0.77; P=0.02). Study-group assignment had no significant effect on the time to tumor progression; 1 of 341 patients in the sipuleucel-T group had a partial tumor response, and 3% had a reduction of at least 50% in PSA level on two visits at least 4 weeks apart. Thus, the improvement in survival came without evidence of a measurable anti-tumor effect.

And:

First, a better control group would have included patients receiving PBMCs incubated with GM-CSF alone so that the main variable between the two study groups would be the tumor antigen.

And:

Second, the prolongation of survival without a measurable anti-tumor effect is surprising. It is hard to understand how the natural history of a cancer can be affected without some apparent measurable change in the tumor, either evidence of tumor shrinkage or at least disease stabilization reflected in a delay in tumor progression. This lack of tumor effect raises concern that the results could have been influenced by an unmeasured prognostic variable that was accidentally imbalanced in study-group assignments.

And:

Another concern with sipuleucel-T treatment is the cost. The current cost of care for men with prostate cancer has been estimated to be about $1,800 per month.10 The manufacturer has set the cost of a 1-month course of sipuleucel-T at $93,000, or $23,000 per month of survival advantage. The high cost may affect use. It is also uncertain what role sipuleucel-T will ultimately play in the treatment of prostate cancer, given the other promising treatments in development.

Medicynical note: This is an exceptionally expensive drug with an exceptionally limited benefit. No evidence of tumor regression save a transient decrease in PSA in 3% of patients and just a 4 month median survival benefit. Worth the money?  Thinks the results will be confirmed?

Carpe Diem would appear this drug company’s watchword.


Avastin (bevacizumab) –questions about efficacy in breast cancer

When you are sold very expensive medications it seems reasonable to expect that they will work. When you spend over $90,000 a year for a drug one would expect spectacular results.

In cancer treatment however a different ethic reigns and we pay outrageous amounts for minimal to no efficacy.

Avastin (bevacizumab) was originally approved for use in metatstatic breast cancer in 2008:

The FDA accelerated approval was based on results from the E2100 phase 3 study conducted in 722 patients, which was published in December 2007 (N Engl J Med 2007;357;2666-2676). This showed that bevacizumab added to paclitaxel nearly doubled median progression-free survival (PFS), to 11.3 months with the combination, compared with 5.8 months with paclitaxel alone (hazard ratio [HR], 0.48; P < .0001). The secondary end point of overall survival in this trial did not reach statistical significance (P = .14), although it was extended by 1.7 months in the combination group. Overall survival was 26.5 months with bevacizumab and paclitaxel, compared with 24.8 months for paclitaxel alone (HR, 0.87). (Medicynical emphasis: a mere 2 month benefit)

Now it turns out the drug may not work at all in these patients. The FDA is reviewing follow-up studies that apparently show not benefit from this very expensive drug:

Avastin paired with chemotherapy didn’t help patients survive longer than use of the other drugs alone, and those receiving the Roche medicine had more serious side effects, according to a Food and Drug Administration staff review today.

Approval was based on a clinical trial, called E2100, which showed Avastin slowed the spread of breast cancer by an additional 5.5 months when paired with paclitaxel chemotherapy, compared with the other drug alone, the FDA said today.

One trial completed since then, called Avado, showed that a high dose of Avastin paired with docetaxel chemotherapy extended the time patients lived without their disease worsening by 0.9 months, compared with treatment with chemotherapy alone, the FDA report said. A lower dose of Avastin gave patients 0.8 months.

A second trial finished after approval, called Ribbon-1, found that Avastin combined with taxane or anthracycline-based chemotherapies stalled tumor growth by 1.2 months, compared to treatment with chemotherapy alone, the report said. Patients who got Avastin combined with Xeloda lived 2.9 months longer without their disease progressing, compared to chemotherapy alone.

A Roche executive made this quite remarkable comment about the situation:

“There was no significant increase in overall survival, but what is important in our understanding is that there was also no added detriment.” (Medicynical emphasis: HUH?)

Medicynical Note: Avastin is not unique in having follow-up studies show decreased or no benefit. See below.

Does anyone think these drug companies somehow skew their data in these early studies to get FDA approval? After all the people doing the studies and those evaluating the results are on the company’s payroll one way or another.

Should we, in the first place, have approved a drug costing $90,000/year with just a 2 month benefit? What’s happened to value and medicine? Does anyone think we need LESS regulation and oversight?

It should be noted that the British drug review organization (N.I.C.E.) rejected use of Avastin for this indication in 2008 noting the high cost and minimal benefit, saving their system untold millions of Pounds.

More here, here and here.


Tasigna — Another good drug for CML

Tasigna was recently (June 17,2010) approved for Philadelphia chromosome positive CML (Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia). You may be aware that CML is an unusual malignancy in that there is just one gene mutation with a number of minor variations–reciprocal translocation between chromosome 9 and 22 designated as t(9;22)(q34;q11). This tranlocation is occasionally found in acute lymphoblastic leukemia and acute myelogenous leukemia.

Having a single target appears to make the disease more susceptible to targeted drug intervention.

BCR-abl activates tyrosine kinase cell division controllers speeding up cell division and ultimately may cause blast crisis through the resulting genetic instability.

In the 90’s imatinib (Gleevec) was identified as active in CML blocking tyrosine kinase inhibitors. While not curative the drug resulted in immediate dramatic improvement in survival for CML patients. Some patients however in time became resistant and there are several newer tyrosine kinase inhibitors on the market that appear to work in these Gleevec resistant patients. Tasigna is one.

This is from the FDA:

The efficacy and safety of nilotinib in adults with newly diagnosed CP-CML was demonstrated in a single randomized, active-control, open-label multinational clinical trial. Eight hundred and forty-six patients were randomized to imatinib 400 mg QD (n = 283), nilotinib 300 mg BID (n = 282), or nilotinib 400 mg BID (n = 281). The primary objective was to compare the rate of major molecular response (MMR) at 12 months of nilotinib 300 mg BID and nilotinib 400 mg BID with that of imatinib 400 mg QD. MMR was defined as a ≤0.1% BCR-ABL/ABL % by international scale measured by RQ-PCR, which corresponds to a ≥3 log reduction of BCR-ABL transcript from standardized baseline. The rate of complete cytogenetic response (CCyR) by month 12 was the key secondary endpoint.

The primary efficacy endpoint, MMR at 12 months, was achieved in 63 patients [22% (95% CI: 18, 28)] in the imatinib arm, 125 patients [44% (95% CI: 38, 50)] in the nilotinib 300 mg BID arm, and 120 patients [43% (95% CI: 37, 49)]

In the nilotinib 400 mg BID arm. The differences were statistically significant

(p < 0.0001) for each nilotinib arm compared to the imatinib arm. CCyR rates by 12 months were 65% (95% CI: 59, 71) for the imatinib arm, 80% (95% CI: 75, 85) for the nilotinib 300 mg BID arm and 78% (95% CI: 73, 83) for the nilotinib 400 mg BID arm.

Medicynical Note: This is an example of a class of drugs, tyrosine kinase inhibitors, that are very effective but very expensive. To control CMS requires continued treatment often for many years at a cost approaching $100,000/year.

To return to a theme, this exceeds our average yearly and median incomes. Charging more for a single item that has become a necessity of life than the great majority of the population earns is unique to pharmaceuticals. Which in a way speaks volumes of our values?

It will be interesting to see if Tasigna is priced more reasonably. Consider that this drug was approved, as was Gleevec after a single clinical trial. And in the case of Gleevec much of the early research funding came from you and me through federal grants. I rather doubt we’ll see responsible pricing.

Drug pricing by any measure in our country is excessive and shows little signs of moderating. Our elected representatives appear to be handsomely rewarded for their support of the industry with large campaign contributions.

We need to look at patents and provide a market based means to reward companies that price drugs reasonably. We need to look at our insurance industry and their lax controls over drug expenditures. Providing cost efficacy studies on all these prohibitively expensive agents would help as well–but who will do them?


Cost an QALY Studies at 2010 AXCO

In review of the over 5000 abstracts presented at the recently concluded ASCO 2010 meeting, just 169 reports contained the word cost or costs.

Of these only 52 look at cost effectiveness. Most of these aimed at documenting cost rather than evaluating effectiveness.

Just 19 studies used the widely accepted QALY estimation to evaluate the cost effectiveness.

Of these 19 abstracts just three looked at the effectiveness of new targeted treatments, the most expensive medications ever marketed. These drugs cost more than the median and average income of U.S. citizens and one would have thought there would be interest in checking out the value of these advances.

The following are the three abstracts looking at cost-effectiveness:

Abstract # 6037 Cost-effectiveness of lapatinib plus capecitabine (LAP+C) versus capecitabine alone (C-only) or trastuzumab plus capecitabine (TZ+C) in women with HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer (MBC) who have received prior therapy with trastuzumab (TZ) from the U.K. National Health Service (NHS) perspective. British National Health Service

This study looked at time to progression and costs of the various regimens and then extrapolated from other studies survival data to provide cost effectiveness data. For the addition of lapatinib to capecitabine (the “standard treatment) the QALY was found to be 77,996 british pounds or about $109,000.

Abstract 3623 Cost-effectiveness analysis of the addition of bevacizumab to first-line chemotherapy in metastatic colorectal cancer. British Columbia Cancer Agency

Results: 943 patients were included: 611 from 2003/04 (pre-Bev era) and 332 from 2006 (Bev era). Median overall survival improved from 15.6 months in the pre-Bev era to 19.5 months in the Bev era (p=0.03). The weighted average cost of treatment per patient was $34,972 and $38,764 in the pre-Bev and Bev eras, respectively. In the Bev era, the cost of treatment resulted in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $15,617/LYG, which translates into $62,468/QALY gained. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses produced an interquartile range of $38,900-$85,800/QALY, suggesting that the model is sensitive to the cost of systemic therapy. Conclusions: Even though Bev incurs in a high acquisition cost, it has also improved the cost-effectiveness of systemic therapy during the era in which it has been used.

link: Cost-effectiveness analysis of the addition of bevacizumab to first-line chemotherapy in metastatic colorectal cancer.


Abstract 1035: Indirect comparison of the cost-effectiveness of letrozole plus lapatinib (LET+LAP) versus anastrozole plus trastuzumab (ANA+TZ) as first-line treatment for postmenopausal women with HER2+ and HR+ metastatic breast cancer (MBC) from the U.K. National Health Service (NHS) perspective.

Shown in the Table (all results are discounted). LET+LAP yields more progression-free life years (PFLYs), life years (LYs), and QALYs than ANA+TZ. Medication costs are greater with LET+LAP, partly due to longer PFS. These higher costs are offset by savings in costs of drug administration. LAP+LET is therefore dominant (less costly and more QALYs) versus ANA+TZ. Conclusions: Letrozole plus lapatinib has greater effectiveness and lower cost from the U.K. NHS perspective when indirectly compared with anastrozole plus trastuzumab. Medicynical Note: The problem with this study is that the incremental benefit, cost effectivenenss, of trastuzumab in breast cancer is open to questionThe addition of trastuzumab to capecitabine is estimated to cost on average an additional of €33 980 and to yield a gain of 0.35 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of €98 329/QALYs gained. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that the willingness-to-pay threshold of €60 000/QALY was reached in 12% of cases.” You read that right a gain of .35 QALY’s for about $50,000. The question is whether any health care system can afford such expensive drugs.

Medicynical Note: Given that our health care system is number 1 in the world in inefficiency, one would have thought there would have been a number of studies from the U.S. evaluating cost efficacy. At this meeting there appears to have been no study of these high cost drugs from a U.S. institution. On second thought maybe there is a nexus here.

Unfortunately, in a “market” driven system with no checks on costs, no one is really interested in value. Our insurers, doctors and technology suppliers simply charge what they can/wish and pass the costs on to consumers, without regard for efficacy or cost. We need a brake in the system. It’s open to question whether the new health care law will provide it. What a non-system.