Category Archives: Cancer medicine (Oncology)

New Gene Therapy — Hype for Funding?

Nice articles, here and here, on a new appoach to chronic leukemia. In a phase 1 study (study to evaluate toxicity) the approach seems to have activity.

Two participants in the Phase I trial have been in remission for up to a year. A third had a strong anti-tumor response, and his cancer remains in check. The research group plans to treat four more patients with CLL before moving into a larger Phase II trial.

Just 3 patients have been treated. That there is evidence of efficacy is hopeful but certainly not conclusive.

It should also be noted that:

All of the funding for the University of Pennsylvania’s gene therapy work has come from the academic community, but the work is expensive.

“We are looking for corporate partners as we head into Phase II trials,” Kalos said.

Medicynical Note: The study does give hope for a new approach to refractory leukemias, and it may well be applicable to other tumors.

The funding for this study, the basic research and initial phase 1 trial in all likelihood came from public money, federal grants and such–“from the academic community.” As implied, the researchers are courting corporate sponsors to fund further studies.

In our “system” you and I fund the training and research of basic scientists and their advances and then allow, and, yes, even encourage them to sell their advance to industry for commercialization. If the drug is useful, even marginally so, we get to pay the inflated price demanded by Pharma for a generation (the patent protected time period), with no credit for the funding of the initial advance.

It heads you lose, tails they win.

Hospice: Essential and Underutilized

Elizabeth Clift’s poignant narrative about her experience with hospice during the illness of her husband is must reading. She notes the underutilization of Hospice care and observes:

The problem is more attributable to the widespread ignorance and denial about the cascade of events that occur when death is imminent. “The well-documented failure in counseling patients about their prognosis and the full range of care options, including early palliative care, leads many patients to acquiesce to more aggressive care without fully understanding its impact on the length and quality of life,” says physician David C. Goodman, the lead author and co–principal investigator for the Dartmouth Atlas study and director of the Center for Health Policy Research at the Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice.

And:

In 2009, when a provision was inserted in proposed national health reform legislation that would have allowed Medicare to pay physicians and certain other health care providers to discuss end-of-life choices with beneficiaries, former Republican vice-presidential contender Sarah Palin characterized the proposal as leading to “death panels.” The phrase took hold, putting Democrats and President Barack Obama on the defensive, even though it was a Republican, Sen. Johnny Isakson of Georgia, who’d introduced the provision. “How someone could take an end-of-life directive or a living will as that is nuts,” he told the Washington Post. “You’re putting the authority in the individual rather than the government. I don’t know how that got so mixed up.”

Read it.

Medicynical note: in many ways we are a culture in denial

CT Screening for Lung Cancer — The Best Use of Resources?

The NEJM has an article an editorial on CT screening for lung cancer. The article notes:

The rate of adherence to screening was more than 90%. The rate of positive screening tests was 24.2% with low-dose CT and 6.9% with radiography over all three rounds. A total of 96.4% of the positive screening results in the low-dose CT group and 94.5% in the radiography group were false positive results. The incidence of lung cancer was 645 cases per 100,000 person-years (1060 cancers) in the low-dose CT group, as compared with 572 cases per 100,000 person-years (941 cancers) in the radiography group

The rate of death was reduced by 6.7%.

The editorial noted:

The NLST results show that three annual rounds of low-dose CT screening reduce mortality from lung cancer, and that the rate of death associated with diagnostic procedures is low.

And:

According to the authors, 7 million U.S. adults meet the entry criteria for the NLST,1 and an estimated 94 million U.S. adults are current or former smokers. With either target population, a national screening program of annual low-dose CT would be very expensive, which is why I agree with the authors that policy makers should wait for more information before endorsing lung-cancer screening programs.

Medicynical Note: This screening is quite costly even without considering the costs of sorting out the false positives. There is a question whether any system of care, much less one that is bankrupting a nation, can afford such a screening program. Would, for example, some of the funds be better employed in education about the hazards of smoking and smoking cessation.

Avastin (bevacizumab), Provenge (sipuleucel-T) Two More Reasons Why Health Care is Bankrupting Us

The drugs Avastin (bevacizumab) and Provenge (sipuleucel-T) are two of the most expensive drugs in the world. Bevacizumab costs in the range of $100,000/year for treatment and simuleucel $93,000 for a course of treatment.

Neither cures patients. In studies in breast cancer bevacizumab has been found minimally effective, if at all. When compared to outcomes of patients not using the drug, It appears to delay progression by a few months and survival by even less then that (between no survival advantage to a few months). Sipuleucel-t gives about the same degree of response in prostate cancer. Despite this apparent lack of efficacy, and the advice of an FDA advisory board, Medicare has decided to continue to pay for the use of these agents.

The problems with these drugs are two-fold. One, they do very little to improve survival. And second, they are outrageously priced.

Regarding pricing, we’ve allowed drug companies to price drug grotesquely by:

  • Providing them government sponsored monopoly (a patent) for a generation. (so much for free markets)
  • Allowing drug companies to take drugs developed in part with government research funding private without offsetting the government’s investment by requiring licensing or reasonable pricing of the drug
  • Prohibiting Medicare from negotiating price with drug companies. This was part of the Medicare D law and has resulted in the inexorable upward spiraling of drug prices. We pay more for drugs in the U.S. than anywhere else in the world. WE ARE NUMBER 1!
  • Cost effectiveness is not in our health care system’s vocabulary. We regularly use drugs with limited to no effectiveness.

Medicynical Note: For many years as an oncologist I used drugs with limited efficacy just on the chance that my patient might benefit. Desperate people accepted remarkable levels of toxicity in the hope that they will be the lucky ones and have a long survival benefit. During treatment, they all thought the drug was working, until it became clear that the disease was progressing. In retrospect very little of the “response” (and I’m thinking of patients with colon cancer treated with 5FU during the 70’s and 80’s) was tumor regression due to the drug. We almost never saw tumor’s decrease in size. Rather each cancer has a biology that affects how rapidly it will grow and recur. There are other poorly understood factors such as the patient’s immune system’s affect on tumor growth that also may come into play. But what was clear from comparison studies of 5 FU and no treatment was that very few patients benefitted. It should be noted that at the time 5FU in 500 mg vials cost $5.00.

Medicare has now announced that despite the proven limited efficacy of these drugs (bevacizumab and sipuleucel-T they will continue to pay for them–at the price demanded by the manufacturer.

If we are unable to rationally use these grotesquely expensive agents we will undoubtedly be rationing through increased co-pays, increased cost of insurance, and lo ball insurance that does’t cover such agents.


Drug Costs and Prostate Cancer: Charging a Premium for Minimal Efficacy

The Times has an article highlighting the costs of new drugs for prostate cancer. Mind you, these are drugs that have a very limited ability to extend life in patients with advanced disease.

In the last 15 months, three new drugs that extended the lives of prostate cancer patients in clinical trials have been approved by the Food and Drug Administration and several other promising medicines are in clinical trials.

And:

Men with that late-stage cancer had a median survival of about a year and a half using docetaxel. The new drugs each added two to five months to median survival when tested in clinical trials. Doctors say that men taking more than one of the drugs in succession would be expected to live more than two years. (Medicynical note: The last sentence is completely unproven and highly doubtful if it means to live 2 years beyond the original 18 months achieved by docetaxel alone. One wonders which doctors are saying this?)

And:

Provenge costs $93,000 for a course of treatment, while Zytiga costs about $5,000 a month. Another of the new drugs, Sanofi’s Jevtana, costs about $8,000 every three weeks.

With other pricey drugs on the way, said Joel Sendek, an analyst at Lazard, “We could be talking easily $500,000 per patient or more over the course of therapy, which I don’t think the system can afford, especially since 80 percent of the patients are on Medicare.”

Medicynical Note: New drugs are protected by a government sponsored monopoly (patents), allowing a generation of exclusive use to the developer of the advance.

Health care of course is different from computers or other consumer products. There is limited choice about both the timing, source and type of treatments available, particularly in diseases that have fatal consequences.

As such it’s a wonderful set-up for manufacturers. They have exclusive rights to a product that their customers feel they must have. The customer is buffered from the true cost by his/her insurance coverage. The insurer is under huge pressure from the patient to cover everything that they need and simply passes the costs on to policy holders.

Cost efficacy is not a consideration. Patients believe that they will be the one who will benefit and have excellent results. This is the situation even where 1/2 the patients treated get little or no benefit and the treatment at best provides minimal life extension–as in these drugs. It should be re-emphasized that the judgement that these drugs could provide years of survival is completely untested and likely false.


Bevacizumab (Avastin) for Breast Cancer, Expensive and Mediocre

Todays NY Times reports that Genentech will try to pressure the FDA to continue the bevacizumab (Avastin) indication for treatment of breast cancer.

It should be stated up front that the drug can be used for breast cancer without FDA approval. The question is whether medicare and other insurers should should be forced (by virtue of the FDA approving the indication) to cover a wildly expensive ineffective treatment.

The data on this drug’s lack of efficacy is clear. It was originally approved in a study which showed a delay in progression of disease. At the time of approval, little was known whether patients so treated would actually live longer. Genentech wanted accelerated approval and agreed that followup studies would be done to confirm its efficacy, not only in delaying progression but also in improving survival.

The F.D.A. approved the drug for advanced breast cancer in February 2008, after one clinical trial showed that combining Avastin with another drug, paclitaxel, delayed the median time before tumors worsened by 5.5 months, compared with using paclitaxel alone. But the women who got Avastin did not live significantly longer than those who got only paclitaxel, which is also known by the brand name Taxol.

and:

Subsequent trials, in which Avastin was combined with different chemotherapy drugs, showed a much smaller delay in tumor progression, ranging from less than 1 month to 2.9 months. And again there was no improvement in survival for those receiving Avastin.

Yet another trial showing this drug’s huge costs and limited efficacy was reported on at ASCO 2011, we commented on this trial here. The study reported .49 years delay of progression free survival and just .135 years (about 1.5 months) of life extension–a cost of $745,000 for a QALY (quality adjust life year). Hardly evidence of a cost-effective intervention, or for that matter a drug that works.

This controversy is in part due to the erosion of standards in clinical trials. At one time patients were deemed to show a response if the tumor decreased in size by 50%. The gold standard for an effective treatment was an improvement in survival, not a mere delay in progression.

It turns out unfortunately that a delay in progression often means little in regard to survival and in the case of bevacizumab (Avastin) even that delay is open to question as repeated studies show a more limited delayed progression as well the lack of a significant survival benefit.

Medicynical Note: With drugs as expensive and ineffective as this one is in breast cancer, it’s easy to understand why health care costs are out of control.


ASCO 2011: Cost Effectiveness Abstracts Pancreatic Cancer, Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia, Follicular Lymphoma

These are the last of the very few chemotherapy drug cost-effectiveness studies at ASCO 2011. As noted in previous posts, there very few such studies.

1. Cost effectiveness of systemic therapies for Pancreatic Cancer: (abstract 6114) This study is an incremental cost study comparing the costs of gemcytibine(G), gemcytibine + capecitibine (G+C), gemcytibine + erlotinib (G+E), and FOLFIRINOX (FFX 5-FU, leucovorin, irinotecan and oxaliplatin).

The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of G+C, G+E and FFX when compared to G were $82,982/QALY, $204,952/QALY and $154,323/QALY, respectively.

The cost of treatment in Canadian dollars was $29,5650 for G, $34,100 for G+C, $46,900 for G+E and $66,000 for FFX. Life expectance was .677 years for G, .76 years for G+C, .79 years for G+E and 1.005 years for FFX.

Medicynical Note: The limited benefit and significant toxicity of the additional treatments highlight our lack of an effective intervention for this diagnosis.

2. Comparison of costs of nilotinib and imatinib in chronic myelogenous leukemia (Abstract 6572) This is a drug company sponsored comparative efficacy study and concludes that the nilotinib is a cost effective alternative to imatinib.

Medicynical Note: The drug costs cited in this study appear to be 3/4 to 1/2 that experienced in the U.S. for example $602,605 over 17.3 years= $34,832/year. In the US costs are cited as between $48,000 and $98,000/year.

3. Cost effectiveness of cetuximab bevacizumab and panitumumab in metastatic colorectal cancer in patients with KRAS (wt) tumors: This is another incremental cost effectiveness analysis sponsored by a drug company. It found that cetuximab was more cost effective than the others in addition to FOLFIRI in patients with KRAS tumors.

Medicynical note: Increment cost effective studies do not add the base costs of FOLFIRI to the analysis. It’s uncertain what the total cost per QALY is compared with other regimens but the study does affirm that cetuximab adds close to $50,000 (conversion from £30,000) to the cost of a QALY.

4. Economic impact of rituximab as maintenance therapy in untreated follicular lymphoma: This drug company sponsored study based on a Markov model found that use of rituximab was cost effective. The cost of a QALY was between $17,000 and $35,000 depending on the relative risk reduction in time to progression.

Medicynical note: I don’t trust drug company studies that do not actually measure costs or outcomes. Using a “model” affords too much room to fiddle with results. Most follicular lymphoma patient do well with watchful waiting rather than immediate therapy. It’s doubtful, in my view, that this is a cost effective intervention.

See here for more discussion of the concept and the fact that other studies of maintenance rituximab show no survival benefit.

However, there was no significant difference in overall survival among the 3 groups, and 96% of the patients are still alive in each group. Whether overall survival will be improved “is currently unclear,”


ASCO 2011: Cost effectiveness Zoledronic Acid (Zometa) vs Denosumab (Prolia, Xgeva)

There were very few cost efficacy studies at the recent ASCO meetings.

One set of three studies sponsored by the drug company (Novartis) compared zoledronic acid with denosumab made by Amgen. The abstracts looked at the cost of a QALY (quality adjusted life year) in patients with metastatic prostate cancer (abstract 1), and breast cancer (abstract 2). The third was an economic evaluation (abstract 3) comparing the costs of preventing a skeletal related event in prostate cancer. Not surprisingly, since they were sponsored by Novartis, these studies “confirmed” that zoledronic acid was more “cost effective.”

The studies found that while zoledronic acid is slightly less effective than denosumab in preventing skeletal related events, denosumab is more expensive.

From abstract 1:

Compared to ZOL (Table), Dmab resulted in fewer SREs, more QALYs, and lower SRE-related costs, but higher drug-related and total costs ($5,313). Overall, Dmab resulted in an incremental cost of $1,250,000 per QALY gained.

From abstract 2:

Dmab resulted in fewer SREs, more QALYs, and lower SRE-related costs, but higher drug-related and total costs vs. ZOL, resulting in an incremental cost of $6,884/pt (Table). The cost per QALY gained was $644,000 when excluding SAEs ($613,000/QALY when including SAEs).

It is telling, and perhaps reflects a “strategic” omission, that neither abstract 1 or 2 reveals zoledronic acid’s cost of a QALY gained.

However, abstract 3 gives a better indication of the relative costs and efficacy of the approaches.

The total costs incurred over one year were estimated at $37,854 for denosumab and $30,499 for ZA, with an incrementally higher cost of $7,355 for denosumab. The estimated number of SREs during the one-year period was 0.56 for denosumab and 0.67 for ZA, where the denosumab patients had 0.11 fewer SREs.

QALY= quality adjusted life year
SRE= Skeletal related event

Medicynical Note: What is unstated in these cost comparison studies is that none of the current generation of treatments to prevent bone events including zoledronic acid and the newer monoclonal, denosumab, meet the guideline for cost effectiveness. (a QALY at a cost of less than $50,000-$100,000.

A study in the Journal Urology in 2004 compared the outcomes of patients getting zoledronic acid with patients receiving placebo and noted:

The nominal cost per skeletal complication avoided was US dollars 112300 (95% CI US dollars 6900 to US dollars 48700) and the cost per additional patient free of skeletal complications was US dollars 51400 (95% CI US dollars 26900 to US dollars 243700). Nominal within-trial cost per quality adjusted life-year was US dollars 159200, which varied widely in sensitivity analyses.

To put it in perspective, in 2004 when drug costs were much lower than now, the health care non-system in the U.S. spent over $50,000 to save one additional skeletal complication. That approximates the yearly median income in our country.

 

Bevacizumab (Avastin) in Breast Cancer — Neither Effective nor Cost-Effective

It’s been well documented that bevacizumab is not very effective in breast cancer.

However, Roche/Genentech continues to lobby it’s use for this indication. At the ASCO 2011 meeting there was yet another study documenting the lack of efficacy and value of the drug in breast cancer. Needless to say there were no company hyped headlines touting the results.

The study from Singapore found:

Bevacizumab added 0.49 years of PFS and 0.135 QALY with an incremental cost of $100,300 and therefore a cost of $204,000 per year of PFS gained and an ICER of $745,000 per QALY.

PFS= progression free survival
QALY= quality adjusted life year
ICER= the additional cost per one life year gained of one treatment over another

Medicynical note: Three reasons why bevacizumab should not be used in breast cancer. High costs, lack of benefits and additional toxicity.

The numbers are embarrassing. $745,000 for an additional life year (ICER). A statistical gain of just .135 life years (QALY).

If Genentech/Roche were to price the drug at 1/10 the current price it would be marginally cost effective, while remaining ineffective in extending life. It’s amazing that there is still a discussion about this indication.


Melanoma, Real advances

Malignant melanoma has resisted virtually all treatment approaches once it’s metastasized. It’s wonderful that there’s been progress at least for one subset of these patients. Abstract LBA4 ASCO 2011 also.

Early results in a study using the drug vermurafenib in melanoma patients with a specific tumor mutation (GRAF V600E) showed strong evidence of the drug’s efficacy. This mutation is found in 40-60% of patients with cutaneous melanoma. Whether this will result in prolonged remissions and significant life extension remains uncertain.

A previous phase 2 trial with this drug showed a rated of response of 57% with a duration of 6.7 months. A previously unheard of response rate in melanoma. This phase 3 trial compared the drug with dacarbazine alone which has response rates of 7-12% and an overall survival of 5-8 months.

This phase 3 trial found:

A total of 672 patients were evaluated for overall survival. The hazard ratio for death in the vemurafenib group was 0.37 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.26 to 0.55; P<0.001)The survival benefit in the vemurafenib group was observed in each prespecified subgroup, according to age, sex, ECOG performance status, tumor stage, lactate dehydrogenase level, and geographic region (Figure 1B). At the time of the interim analysis, there were an inadequate number of patients in follow-up beyond 7 months in either study group to provide reliable Kaplan–Meier estimates of the survival curves.17 At 6 months, overall survival was 84% (95% CI, 78 to 89) in the vemurafenib group and 64% (95% CI, 56 to 73) in the dacarbazine group. Further follow-up is required.

Very hopeful, but very preliminary, results.

Medicynical notes: The discussion of the results in the NEJM article reported a relative reduction of 63% in the risk of death and 74% a tumor progression compared with dacarbazine. Dacarbazine is a poor comparator as it probably is not much better than placebo in this very resistant to treatment tumor.

I don’t argue that the new drug is not an advance but touting the improvements in outcome as a percentage rather than actual numbers overstates the benefit–not surprising that this is done in a drug company study.

You might want to look at the Kaplan-Meier survival curve in the article which shows the percent surviving (40%) in the two groups apparently merging at 9 months. The drug offers some benefit but it not a panacea.

Wonder what Roche will charge?