Category Archives: Cancer medicine (Oncology)

Semulaparin: Effective Maybe, Cost Effective?

It’s difficult to assess the cost effectiveness of a new intervention when price data is unavailable.  That’s the case with semulaparin, a new anticoagulant that is not FDA approved.

The NEJM this week reports that using semulaparin decreases the incidence of blood clots in cancer patients.

Venous thromboembolism occurred in 20 of 1608 patients (1.2%) receiving semuloparin, as compared with 55 of 1604 (3.4%) receiving placebo (hazard ratio, 0.36; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.21 to 0.60; P<0.001), with consistent efficacy among subgroups defined according to the origin and stage of cancer and the baseline risk of venous thromboembolism.

There was a slight increase in bleeding complications in the semulaparin group 2.8% vs 2% in the placebo group.

The authors conclude that the drug reduces the incidence of thromboembolism in patient on chemotherapy.

Sanofi’s press release touted the results as well:

Sanofi (EURONEXT: SAN and NYSE: SNY) announced today results of the pivotal SAVE-ONCO study which demonstrated that, in cancer patients initiating a chemotherapy regimen, investigational semuloparin significantly  reduced the risk of the composite of symptomatic-deep vein thromboembolism (DVT), non-fatal pulmonary embolism (PE) or venous thromboembolism (VTE)-related death by 64%[]i], meeting the study primary endpoint (respectively 1.2% and 3.4% for semuloparin and placebo HR 0.36 95% CI (0.21-0.60)), p< 0.0001).

Medicynical Note:  The daily costs of the currently available low molecular weight heparins are between $35 and $80 dollars/day.  Assuming self-injection and negligible cost for other materials. 

The mean duration of the treatment regimens in the NEJM study was 3.5 months (approximately 100 days).  $35/day for 100 days and 80/day for 100 days gives a treatment cost for patient of between $3500 and $8000/patient.

1608 patients were treated in the study.  Using this number and the estimated cost/day, providing a low weight molecular heparin to these patients would be between $5,628,000 million dollars if the drug costs $35/day and $12,864,000 at $80/day.

The benefit noted in the article was a difference of 35 occurrences of venous thrombo-embolism between the placebo and treated group.  This gives a cost range of between $160,000 and $367,542 per thrombo-embolus prevented.

Cost effective?  Probably not.

More on Avastin (bevacizumab) in Breast Cancer– $400,000/patient

There has been much written about the rather minor improvement in breast cancer outcomes with Avastin (bevacizumab).  My last post pointed out one theoretical problem with use of this drug in cancer.

In this week’s NEJM there  are two studies, reporting a small beneficial effect with bevacizumab in patients with early HER2-negative breast cancer.  The authors of one study  note:  (other study here)

The addition of bevacizumab to neoadjuvant chemotherapy significantly increased the rate of pathological complete response among patients with HER2-negative early-stage breast cancer. Efficacy was restricted primarily to patients with triple-negative tumors, in whom the pathological complete response is considered to be a reliable predictor of long-term outcome.

In the study 1948 newly diagnosed breast cancer patients were randomized to receive chemotherapy alone or with concomitant bevacizumab before surgery (neoadjuvant treatment).  The results showed that pathological complete response  was 18.4% in patients receiving bevacizumab and 14.9% without it.  A difference of 3.5%, hardly significant.  In patients with triple negative tumors (ER, PR and HER2 negative) the results were more impressive with 27.9% pathologic complete remission without bevacizumab and 39.3%   with it.  There was no difference in the 1262 ER PR positive patients.  (7.8 and 7.7%)

We don’t know at this time whether the improved CR rate in these patients will translate into improved survival and hopefully cures.

Medicynical Note:  What we can determine however is the cost of the intervention.  Consider the 663 patients that were triple negative.  I assume that about half (I don’t have full access to the article), let’s say 330 patients received bevacizumab.  Then lets take the 39.3% complete response rate,11.6% more than those not receiving the drug, and do a rough estimate of cost. 

39.3% of 330 is 129.69 patients achieved complete remission.  11.6% or 38.38 patients was the incremental benefit.  Assuming a cost in the range of $50,000 for a 3-5 month course of treatment, the total cost of treating these 330 patients with the best outcome in the study would be (paying market prices for the drug) in the range of 16 and a half million dollars.  Dividing that by the incremental benefit of 38.38 the cost of the benefit/patient  was $429,911.

Cost is a real problem for a health care non-system that spends 17% of GDP on health care,  almost twice that of other countries.  Can we afford an intervention that costs over $400,000/patient who benefits?  

I have no particular bias against Avastin (bevacizumab) except for the fact that it (and other similar drugs) appears to have very limited efficacy and is so expensive.  If it were a drug costing $5000-10,000 for a course of treatment I’d say give it a try.  At the present cost and level of efficacy it’s hard to find a strong argument for it’s use, except that it must make the manufacturers and their stockholder a great deal of profit.

Avastin (bevacizumab), Sutent (sunitinib)– Fundamental Problems in Cancer Treatment

There is wide documentation of the relative ineffectiveness of Avastin (bevacizumab) in breast cancer.  The drug simply doesn’t extend the lives of those treated significantly. 

Why?  It ‘s been an open question with the drug company maintaining that the drug costing between $75,000 and $120,000/year for treatments has some effect and that is enough to warrant it’s continued use.  The FDA differed and removed the breast cancer indication, though some insurers for some some reason continue to pay.

There is now an explanation why the drug failed.

Antiangiogenic therapy has been thought to hold significant potential for the treatment of cancer. However, the efficacy of such treatments, especially in breast cancer patients, has been called into question, as recent clinical trials reveal only limited effectiveness of antiangiogenic agents in prolonging patient survival. New research using preclinical models further suggests that antiangiogenic agents actually increase invasive and metastatic properties of breast cancer cells. We demonstrate that by generating intratumoral hypoxia in human breast cancer xenograpfts, the antiangiogenic agents sunitinib and bevacizumab increase the population of cancer stem cells. 

If the finding is confirmed it provides an explanation of the mediocre results in breast and other cancers for this drug.  It raises question about it’s continued use and certainly would argue against using it alone either as a primary treatment or maintenance therapy option.

Medicynical Note:  One hopes this is new information and that the drug company was not previously aware of the increase population of stems cell generated by presumed antiangiogenic caused hypoxia. 

More broadly, how can it be that our pharmaceutical industry sells drugs (sometimes even effective drugs) at twice the median and average income of citizens.  This is not a sustainable model either for business or for health care.

There’s obviously something wrong with our drug development system; drug patents: our non-system of health care; and our payment schemes.  If we ultimately want to reform health care these issues need to be addressed.

Lung Cancer Treatment: Joe Paterno, a Teaching Moment

At age 85 a person’s life balance is quite fragile.  Medical problems that at a younger age have no effect on the quality or quantity of life can at age 85 have major consequences.  Flu may lead to pneumonia; a simple fall may break a bone and lead to complications; cancer treatments may have life threatening consequences.

At one time aggressively treating a person over age 80 with chemotherapy, much less chemotherapy combined with radiation, would have been unthinkable.  With medical “progress,” however, we believe that we can aggressively treat everyone, including the aged.

This was todays headline:  Joe Paterno, Penn State’s legendary football coach, dies:

Former Penn State head coach Joe Paterno, his body ravaged by chemotherapy and radiation treatments for lung cancer, died early Sunday morning at Mount Nittany Medical Center in State College.

Medicynical Note:  I don’t know how the advantages and disadvantages of treatment were spun to Mr. Paterno by his doctors. 

I can infer from the approach, chemo and radiation, that the disease was nonresectable (not amenable to surgery).  That is, it was either locally advanced or metastatic.  It is a fact that virtually all such patients (young and old) will have  limited benefit from aggressive treatment, and not be cured, regardless of age.  The results of studies in stage 3 and 4 lung cancer range  from  no survival benefit to a  few month’s longer life (median benefit).   Meanwhile many of these patients will have significant side effects, often debilitating and life threatening. 

Regarding those over age 80 and the benefits of lung cancer treatment,  see here:

The > or =80 age group was less likely to be subjected to surgery or chemotherapy, and had inferior outcomes when compared with the 70-79 age group and the <70 age group. Survival improvement was not observed in the > or =80 age group.

Regarding elderly patients with lung cancer: (note the difference between the elderly (age 70-79 and those over age 80)

Evidence supports that elderly patients with good PS and limited comorbidity may benefit from combination chemotherapy. Age alone should not dictate treatment-related decisions in patients with advanced NSCLC. Elderly patients with a good PS enjoy longer survival and a better quality of life when treated with chemotherapy compared with supportive care alone. Caution should be exercised when extrapolating data for elderly patients (aged 70–79 years) to patients aged 80 years or older because only a very small number of patients aged 80 years or older have been enrolled on clinical trials, and the benefit in this group is uncertain. (Medicynical emphasis)

Mr. Paterno’s treatment decision was, I’m sure, his own choice, influenced by his physicians as well as his personal beliefs.  His poor outcome is within the range of expected results for this terrible disease. 

Addendum:  Mr. Paterno is reported to have been diagnosed with small cell cancer of the lung with metastasis at diagnosis.  As with non-small cell lung cancer there is little data indicating a significant benefit for patients over age 80 from aggressive treatment.

The optimal therapeutic approach in older patients remains unclear. A population analysis showed that increasing age was associated with a decreased performance status and increased comorbidity.  Older patients were less likely to be treated with combined chemoradiation therapy, more intensive chemotherapy, and PCI. Older patients were also less likely to respond to therapy and had poorer survival outcomes. Whether this was a result of age and its associated comorbidities or suboptimal treatment delivery remains uncertain.

And:

Among patients with limited disease, the proportion receiving chemoradiation increased from 35% to almost 60% for those aged 60–69, from 28% to 48% in age group 70–74, from 17% to 33% in age group 75–79, but remained <10% for those aged 80+. Among patients with extensive disease, the proportion receiving chemotherapy (CT) decreased from 81% of patients aged 60–64 to 23% of those aged 85+, without substantial changes over time. Survival has only improved for patients <80 years.

The AVASTIN Spin Machine: Costs $100,000, little proof of survival benefit, But……..

It’s remarkable how drug companies spin the limited proven benefits of their new drugs.   This in the LA Times:

Avastin can stabilize tumors in ovarian cancer, studies find

Two independent groups working with advanced-stage cases say the drug extended the period before the disease worsened by more than 3.5 months.

At this point there is little data indicating that people with ovarian cancer treated with Avastin (bevacizumab) live longer. 

Medicynical Note:  In the past the end points for a cancer treatment advance was actual proof of shrinkage of tumor masses and a significant survival benefit.  In recent years companies have tried to sell “delay in progression” as proof of benefit.  Often as not however, this “delay”, when found, is not repeatable on follow-up trials and/or there was no observed survival benefit.    That was the case when the FDA deauthorized this same drug’s use in breast cancer because the short delay in progression was not replicated and did not increase breast cancer patients’ length of life.

The problems with Avastin are it’s outrageous price, in the range of $100,000/year and the apparent fact that it is only marginally effective.  This type drug is marketed to desperate patients with life threatening illness and priced way out of proportion to it’s benefit, or even development costs.  It is a fact that most of the early development costs came not from drug companies but rather from taxpayers in the form of research grants.

At a cost to consumers and insurers of nearly $100,000/year, more than practically any other consumer purchase, and just a few months delay in progression–Would you buy a $100,000 car that lasted 3.5 months?–it’s hard to be enthusiastic .

Bevacizumab: No Survival Benefit for $100,000

How much is a 2 month progression delay, with no survival benefit, worth?

Another study of bevacizumab (Avastin) in Metastatic Breast Cancer :

Median PFS increased from 5.1 to 7.2 months (stratified hazard ratio for PFS (Progression Free Survival), 0.78; 95% CI, 0.64 to 0.93; P 􏰁 .0072). The 10% improvement in ORR (Objective Response Rate) between the placebo- and bevacizumab-containing arms (39.5% v 29.6%; P: .0193), although not statistically significant, was consistent with previous trials. There was no statistically significant difference in overall survival.

As noted in the discussion the improvement in ORR is not statistically significant and there is no improvement in survival. This, in a drug, with costs in the $5000- $10,000/month range.

Medicynical Note: The FDA has removed the breast cancer indication for this drug because of lack of objective efficacy. This study confirms their decision.

Medicare, however, as I understand it, continues to pay for it. The big question is why we should have public funds, or pooled insurance money, used to pay for an exceptionally expensive drug that has no survival benefit? In the end we all pay.

It’s no wonder that health care is bankrupting individuals and our non-system of health care.


Cancer Treatment Costs a Lot

The Washington Post notes the “hefty cost” of cancer treatment even for those with insurance.

Recent research spells out what patients are facing. A study by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality estimated that between 2001 and 2008, 13.4 percent of adults younger than 65 who had cancer spent more than 20 percent of their income on health care, including premiums. That compared with 9.7 percent of people with other chronic conditions and just 4.4 percent of those with no chronic conditions.

The article goes on to note the the increased bankruptcy rate among patients –over 6 times the baseline rate over 5 years.

ASCO the American Society of Clinical Oncology in the same article is noted to recommend :

The American Society of Clinical Oncology encourages oncologists to discuss treatment costs with patients. But that’s easier said than done, say some oncologists. More than half of the income of many oncology practices comes from administering the drugs they prescribe, says Ramsey, so oncologists are not entirely disinterested parties. In addition, the timing is often tough. Patients are “already scared and they have cancer,” he says.

Medicynical Note: It appears from their pricing of medications that drug companies have a sliding scale. The more life threatening the illness, the more the drug costs–whether or not it has a significant effect on the disease’s course

Another factor in the cost of cancer treatment, or any drug treatment purchased in the U.S., is that we pay more by 30%, for the exact same drug than other countries’ citizens. It’s a fact.

What’s amazing is that we tolerate the discriminatory behaviour of drug companies and pay the increased price.


Vitamin E and Selenium May Increase the Risk of Prostate Cancer

The October 12 Journal of the American Medical Association reports a slight increase in the risk of prostate cancer from vitamin E and selenium. The increase from selenium is not considered statistically significant. Vitamin E’s increase just met the criteria and is considered more likely to be real. This increase in risk, for both agents, is important in that they were being evaluated as preventatives. They obviously don’t work.

This report includes 54 464 additional person-years of follow-up and 521 additional cases of prostate cancer since the primary report. Compared with the placebo (referent group) in which 529 men developed prostate cancer, 620 men in the vitamin E group developed prostate cancer (hazard ratio [HR], 1.17; 99% CI, 1.004-1.36, P = .008); as did 575 in the selenium group (HR, 1.09; 99% CI, 0.93-1.27; P = .18), and 555 in the selenium plus vitamin E group (HR, 1.05; 99% CI, 0.89-1.22, P = .46). Compared with placebo, the absolute increase in risk of prostate cancer per 1000 person-years was 1.6 for vitamin E, 0.8 for selenium, and 0.4 for the combination.

Medicynical Note: This is not stunning news as vitamin and mineral supplements have little efficacy–unless there is dietary deficiency. Perhaps our pill popping culture will take note.


Cancer Treatment — Unaffordable, less effective than advertised!

Lancet Oncology (behind pay wall) published a symposium on the “culture of excess” in the treatment of cancer. The BBC notes:

A group of 37 leading experts from around the world say the burden of cancer is growing and becoming a major financial issue.

“The issue that concerns economists and policymakers is not just the amount of money spent on healthcare, but also the rate of increase in healthcare spending or what has become known as the cost curve.”

It says the UK’s total spend on breast cancer has increased by about 10% in each of the past four years.

“Few treatments or tests are clear clinical winners, with many falling into the category of substantial cost for limited benefit.”

The cost of drugs is not the only target for criticism. Lead author Prof Richard Sullivan told the BBC: “It’s not just pharmaceuticals. Biomarkers, imaging and surgery are all getting through with very low levels of evidence – the hurdles are set too low.”

Medicynical Note: It’s too bad this is behind a pay-wall. Patients in the US are subjected to a blizzard of misinformation regarding cancer treatment, outcomes and the “benefits” of different approaches. Costs are not an apparent consideration by providers, patients or insurers and expenditures for cancer care are rising at an unsustainable rate.

We hear about the improved survival of patients and believe that justifies the increased costs. However, most, if not all, of these improvements in survival come from earlier diagnosis of cancers and counting pre-cancerous lesions also found by screening in the cure rate. DCIS, Gleason 5 prostate cancers, and early colon cancers are automatic cures.

The decreased incidence (declining rates) of lung and a few other cancers have little to do with treatment and are a benefit of smoking cessation and in some instances other lifestyle changes.

The new mega-expensive treatments ($50,000-$120,000/year) in patients with bad disease have resulted in no cures and limited survival benefit. Uncritical use of these drugs is bankrupting our non-system of care.

Finally, we still have 20-25% of our population smoking. This fact may provide income security for the medical industrial complex but offers an opportunity for a prevention strategy with real impact.


Why Don’t the New “Targeted” Cancer Drugs Work Better — Because It’s Complicated

Every wonder why the new cancer advances, such as bevacizumab (Avastin), gefitinib (Iressa), cetuximab (Erbitux), trastuzumab (Herceptin) and so on, don’t work in most patients? Why their benefit is often hardly measurable? And why they cost so much (up to and over $100,000/year)

The reason is that cancer is complicated: (From the American Association for Cancer Research Meetings and the NY Times):

Through a series of random mutations, genes that encourage cellular division are pushed into overdrive, while genes that normally send growth-restraining signals are taken offline.

With the accelerator floored and the brake lines cut, the cell and its progeny are free to rapidly multiply. More mutations accumulate, allowing the cancer cells to elude other safeguards and to invade neighboring tissue and metastasize.

And:

But recent discoveries have been complicating the picture with tangles of new detail. Cancer appears to be even more willful and calculating than previously imagined.

Most DNA, for example, was long considered junk — a netherworld of detritus that had no important role in cancer or anything else. Only about 2 percent of the human genome carries the code for making enzymes and other proteins, the cogs and scaffolding of the machinery that a cancer cell turns to its own devices.

Medicynical Note: Read the article. It’s fascinating and makes clear that there are many unanswered questions and that a “cure” for cancer is not likely to happen soon.

Regarding cost, drug companies simply take advantage of the sick and infirm and overcharge.