Category Archives: Cancer medicine (Oncology)

Martina’s “cancer” free –Is DCIS cancer?

It’s good news but not at all a surprise that Martina Navratilova is cancer free. She was diagnosed with a benign, actually a pre-cancerous minimal risk lesion, DCIS (Ductal Carcinoma in Situ). The in-situ terminology means that this lesion was localized. As a matter of fact many would say she never had cancer.

The finding of DCIS is not in itself dangerous and no one dies of this. Of those not treated for DCIS about 25% of those with the most aggressive form (high grade DCIS) will develop invasive cancer at some time in the future–and the great majority of those patients, if being monitored with mammography will have local curable disease.

Medicynical Note: In some discussions (ACS) of breast cancer, DCIS is included as a type of “breast cancer” and shows a 100% cure rate. Including DCIS with invasive breast cancer is misleading and many think now that it leads to over treatment.

So it is not at all surprising that Marina is “cancer” free.



More on Provenge –How beautiful the Emperor’s Clothes?

Provenge is innovative, very expensive and minimally effective. It won’t cure disease but will provide a very slight 9% improvement in those alive at 3 years–that’s less than a 1 in 10 benefit.

The cost is $93,000 for a full treatment. It’s not clear whether repeat courses can be given.

To put in perspective consider that a more conventional chemotherapeutic agent docetaxol (Taxotere) provides a 3 month benefit at significantly less cost.

Here is a detailed review of this drug’s efficacy:

The two trials used 2:1 randomization, with patients to receive Provenge or placebo three times, with 2 weeks between each treatment. Study 1 randomized 82 men (median age 73; 89% white) to Provenge and 45 (median age 71; 93.3% white) to placebo. The treatment group had a nonsignificant median time to progression of 11.0 weeks, compared with 9.1 weeks in the placebo arm (P = .085). (Medicynical emphasis)

After study 1 failed to meet its primary endpoint, researchers halted enrollment in study 2 following accrual of 98 of 120 planned patients with similar age and racial characteristics as those in study 1. (The difference in time to progression in the second study also was nonsignificant, 10.9 weeks for Provenge vs 9.9 weeks for placebo (P = .719). The two trials found no significant regression in tumor size among the treated patients. (Medicynical emphasis)

Although neither study specified overall survival as an endpoint, a post hoc analysis of the study 1 data showed an overall median survival benefit for the Provenge arm, compared with placebo, of 25.9 months vs 21.4 months (P = .01). “

An analysis of study 2 found a median overall survival of 19 months for the treatment arm vs 15.7 months for the placebo group, a difference that failed to reach statistical significance (P = .331). “It should be noted that the survival time in this study was shorter than the counterpart in study 1, which suggests that significant populations in these two studies may not be exactly the same,” remarked FDA clinical reviewer Ke Liu, MD, PhD. Dendreon also presented combined overall survival data from the two trials, showing a significant advantage for Provenge, 23.2 weeks vs 18.9 weeks for placebo (P = .011)

link: Substantial Evidence for Provenge Efficacy: FDA Panel – Cancer Network

And this from a later study:

In clinical trials, Provenge extended survival by a median 4.1 months — about half of patients were below that amount and half were above. But some of the patients remain alive years after the treatment. In the most recent trial, 32% of Provenge-treated patients remained alive three years after treatment. Only 23% of placebo-treated patients survived that long. (Medicynical Emphasis– It’s not stated whether patients receiving placebo also remain alive years after the treatment)

link: FDA OKs Provenge for Prostate Cancer Therapy

Of interest is that more patients in the study group received docetaxol (Taxotere) 57% vs 50.3% in the placebo group after signs of disease progression. As in many drug comparison trials the matching up of the groups is essential to the validity of the study. It’s conceivable given the small size of the study that normal biologic variation in the diseases course and the differences in patient management could account for much of the “evidence” of efficacy.

There is a long history of study results often sponsored by drug companies that were viewed as “significant” that later turned out to be simply artifact–see Premarin and erythropoietin data to name two examples.

Medicynical Note: After three years survival in the treated group was 9% better than those receiving absolutely nothing–a placebo.

Provenge does not appear to work with the more malignant Gleason 8-9 varieties of the disease.

However, according to information supplied by Dendreon, analysis of the data for pre-specified variables revealed Gleason score as the single most important predictor of response to Provenge®. In patients with a Gleason score = 7 who received Provenge®, the likelihood of remaining progression free and free of cancer-related pain while on study was over twice that of men who did not receive Provenge®. In addition, those patients receiving Provenge® whose disease had not progressed six months after randomization, had a greater than eight-fold advantage in progression-free survival compared to those patients who received placebo (35.9% versus 4%). In contrast, the benefits of Provenge® therapy were not seen in patients with a Gleason score = 8.

link: Prostate Cancer Research Institute – Update on Provenge Trials


This is an advance but it also is a very limited benefit from a very expensive drug. Would you buy a car for $100,000 that lasted months? Would you go into debt to get this drug? Would you sell your house to raise funds to have access?

Drug companies became alchemists in the mid 90’s when they discovered that patients with fatal illness were neither cost aware nor cost sensitive. Any minor advance that offer a modicum of success even as little as a 10% chance of living a month or two or four longer was worth spending huge sums of money. They don’t justify the pricing by their costs or the efficacy of the drug, they simply point out that other drug companies charge similarly for similarly ineffective agents.

Drugs like Provenge, that have interesting mechanisms of action with minimal efficacy are money cows for the pharmaceutical industry. The question is how much longer can they ride this gravy train, before the emperor is shown to have no clothes? And/or the system crashes?

More here.


Myeloma Survival–How much better? and can we afford it?

Jane Brody in today’s Times talks of the improvement in survival in multiple myeloma.

She notes there has been marked improvments in survival.

My guarded optimism stems from the progress made in devising treatments for several less well-known malignancies. For many patients with cancers like chronic lymphoma, chronic myelocytic leukemia and now multiple myeloma, longevity lies in the ability of science to remain one step ahead of the malignancy by unraveling its genetic and molecular underpinnings and producing treatments tailored to counter them.

How good is good?

The analyses found a definitive overall increase in the survival of MM patients over the past decade. In particular, five-year survival increased from 28.8 to 34.7 percent, and 10-year survival increased from 11.1 to 17.4 percent. Importantly, survival increased most dramatically in the youngest age group — more than half (56.7 percent) of patients younger than 50 survived at least five years, and more than 40 percent (41.3 percent) survived at least 10 years. In real years, the average relative survival increased from four years after diagnosis in 1990-1992 to almost seven years after diagnosis in 2002-2004.

Patients age 50-59 also fared well, with approximately half (48.2 percent) surviving at least five years, and nearly a third (28.6 percent) surviving at least 10 years. However, only modest increases were seen in the age group 60-69, and virtually no improvement was seen in patients older than 70. Since about half of MM patients are diagnosed when they are 60 or older, the lack of improvement in the eldest groups is a critical finding of the research.

Medicynical note: There are two problems with Brody’s analysis. First as noted in the latter review of progress there has been “modest” improvement for those age 60-69 and no improvement in patients older than 70. FYI the median age of myeloma patients is 66 with just 2%, thankfully, under age 40. Secondly, the cost of new treatments is excessive. The treatments recommended are in the range of $50,000-$100,000/year or more for the drugs alone and multiples of $100,000 for the transplants. This in a disease in which 5 year survival has “improved” to 34%.

Yes, there has been progress but it’s been mainly limited to younger patients and is at tremendous cost. We need to find a way to be more efficient and provide better value.


Melanoma, Nice News

Great apparent advance for some melanoma patients. A series in the NY times:

A new kind of cancer therapy, it was tailored to a particular genetic mutation that was driving the disease, and after six years of disappointments his faith in the promise of such a “targeted” approach finally seemed borne out. His collaborators at five other major cancer centers, melanoma clinicians who had tested dozens of potential therapies for their patients with no success, were equally elated.

Once unleashed, however, any cancer seemed to rely on the protein made by a particular mutated gene to fuel its wild growth. In all of the PLX patients, that gene was B-RAF. And whatever the cause, they came to consider themselves, so far as it was possible with what has always been a virtually untreatable cancer, charmed.

More here.

In new results from 31 melanoma patients with the BRAF mutation who were treated with 960mg of PLX4032 twice a day, 64% (14) of the 22 patients who could be evaluated so far met the official criteria for partial response (this involves the diameter of tumours shrinking by at least 30% for at least a month). A further six of the 22 patients also showed a response, but, at the time of the congress presentation, it was too early to say whether the tumours would shrink far enough to meet these criteria.

“What makes this treatment different from standard chemotherapy is that standard chemotherapy attacks the machinery involved in cell division; so to stop the cancer cells dividing uncontrollably, most standard chemotherapy aims to block the mechanism of division by interfering directly with DNA replication or with microtubules in the dividing cells. PLX4302 is different because it attacks the genetic programme that is causing the cells to divide uncontrollably, and we think the BRAF mutation is driving that programme. The drug is blocking the genetics of the tumour, rather than trying to interfere with the proliferation of the cells and, as a result, there are fewer side effects, although there are some. We are seeing some pretty dramatic and rapid responses, and they are occurring in sites where we rarely see responses to chemotherapy, such as in the bone.

Medicynical note: Until now melanoma has been refractory to virtually all interventions. This is a real positive step if the responses are durable and life extending–as they seem to be.


B12 and Folic Acid May increase the risk of Cancer and Death

The alternative medicine community operates in a cloud (claims without hard evidence) based in part on the notion that whatever they do has to “improve the immune system.” There is little basis for this claim in improved outcomes, other than placebo effect.

A recent study in the Journal of AMA (JAMA. 2009;302:2119-2126) reports on a two placebo controlled studies from Norway in which patients received folic acid and vitamin B12.

The results indicate an excess of 3.5 new cases/1000/year and one excess case of lung cancer per 1,000 per year

Patients were followed for over three years. More patients receiving the vitamins were diagnosed with cancer (10% vs 8.4% P=.02) and more receiving the vitamins died (4% vs 2.9% P=.01). Another way of stating this, if we wanted to maximize the claim, would be that there was an almost 16% increase in cancer diagnoses and a 28% increase in death. Medicynical note: whenever you hear a percentage increase or decrease in something you can assume it overemphasizes the result.

About all that one can say about this study is that, regarding cancer prevention, B12 and folate offer no benefit and may even increase the risk.

Medicynical Note: One explanation of the finding is that in addition to whatever “positive” effects there are, B12 and folate also enhance the growth of cancer cells in some patients. One needs to be careful about therapeutic weapons that “enhance” something because they have double edges and enhance the wrong thing.


One problem with Health Reform–Big Pharma

The fastest growing expense for health insurers is drug costs. We use more drugs and pay more than any other place in the world.

New drugs for treating cancer were in the hundreds of dollars/treatment in the 70’s and early 80’s. Now these drugs cost two orders of magnitude more (upwards of $10,000/month) without inducing cures or lengthy remissions in most situations.

You might ask well why then are people with cancer living longer. Isn’t this from the expensive treatments we’re paying for? No!

We are now diagnosing disease earlier through aggressive screening programs. This introduces what is called lead time bias. Which means people will live longer, in part, because of the difference in survival time between earlier diagnosed disease and a more extensive later disease. This “survival” benefit accrues without any treatment.

The second factor is that disease diagnosed earlier may be more curable. That is, a smaller more localized disease is more likely to be cured than a later advanced disease. Furthermore, many of these early tumors, counted in the survival statistics, are inherently benign in behavior and would never threaten the life of the patient.

Medicynical Note: Meanwhile we pay more, get modest benefits and the drug companies love it. See this in Time magazine.


More Comparison Studies: Capecitabine (Xeloda) vs Standard Chemotherapy

In an attempt to prevent recurrence of breast cancer, chemotherapy is given after surgery. This is known as adjuvant chemotherapy.

One of the standard adjuvant regimens is CMF (cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and 5-FU). Compared to other adjuvant regimens the toxicity is moderate but all the drugs are given intravenously. About 15 years ago Roche developed capecitabine (Xeloda) an oral drug that is simply 5FU in oral form. The cost of this drug is several hundred times (yes you read that correctly) that of the intravenous drug but the thought apparently was that the drug would save visits to infusion centers, which are also expensive.

Now, as reported in NEJM there is evidence that the use of capecitabine is inferior to CMF as adjuvant treatment of breast cancer in women over age 65. Unfortunately it’s taken 15 years to find this out.

Medicynical note: This experience is yet another example of why we need to compare treatment regimens. It’s counter intuitive to argue against this notion unless you are a drug company. Or an insecure physician who’s ego can’t deal with another source of information, besides the bias offered by pharmaceutical companies.

Powered by Zoundry Raven

Finally, ASCO has a concern about costs? The Need for Comparison Studies

From Forbes:

“But many companies seem to be maximizing cancer profit instead. Big drug companies are making big money off smaller and smaller improvements in cancer care. Newfangled cancer drugs can cost $50,000 a year, and that doesn’t mean they will add a year to the patient’s life–you might spend $50,000 for a year and extend the patient’s life by only weeks.”

Regarding Avastin:

“The hope was that further studies of Avastin in other types of cancer or in earlier stages of the disease would show even greater survival benefits. But they haven’t. In several breast-cancer trials–including a new one being presented at the meeting this weekend–Avastin slowed the progression of disease but did not extend patient survival at all. But doctors still use the drug in treating breast cancer because they figure it helps symptoms, even if patients don’t live longer. Avastin costs up to $55,000 a year.”

More:

“Roche is also combining other expensive drugs with Avastin. One study at the meeting showed that adding Tarceva……. delayed by one month the median time it takes lung tumors to grow. “

Medicynical note: ONE MONTH delay for $50,000. Terrific.

Where is the value? Meanwhile the drumbeat of studies showing very limited improvement but very high costs continues.

Also regarding Avastin:

“Avastin failed to prevent colon cancer from recurring after surgery. In the first year of treatment, more patients who got Avastin remained free of detectable cancer. But after a year, the drug was stopped, and by the end of the study, the apparent initial benefit had faded completely.”

In fact most people who receive drugs after surgery have no risk at all for recurrence. For those with what’s called Duke’s C disease the risk of recurrence is about 35-40%. Treatment with chemotherapy with or without Avasatin decreases the risk of recurrence by 15%. That means 20-25% recur no matter what we do. That also means that around 80% of people receiving these drugs get no benefit at all from chemo (the 60% without risk of recurrence and the 20% who recur no matter what we do).

The costs of these type treatments are astronomical. The drug company’s hopes of having $50,000/year drugs used on all patients are deal busters. I can’t think of a better poster child for comparison studies than those cited above.

Powered by Zoundry Raven

Comparison Study of Taxanes (Taxotere) in Early Breast Cancer Shows no Survival Benefit

It’s fascinating to consider the reasons why anyone opposes the concept of comparison studies to determine the benefit of a treatment. In cancer treatments are extremely expensive, and toxic. Launching patients into therapy without considering the benefit and costs is reckless.

In the May 16th Lancet a study showed no survival improvement when Taxotere was added to standard anthracycline (Epirubicin in this case) adjuvant chemotherapy (the TACT trial).

“At a median follow-up of 62 months, 75.6% of patients who received docetaxel plus anthracycline chemotherapy remained disease free, compared with 74.3% who did not receive docetaxel. The proportion of patients who reported any acute grade 3 or 4 adverse event was significantly greater among patients who received docetaxel.”

But it does add to toxicity:

“The proportion of patients reporting any acute grade 3 or 4 toxicity that occurred during treatment and up to 30 days afterward was significantly greater among those receiving docetaxel.”

The authors do point out that there may be subgroups who benefit. But given the cost and toxicity, adding a Taxane to standard chemotherapy needs further study and verification of efficacy.

Comparing treatments is part of the scientific method. Using this information to inform treatment options is rational medicine and should be encouraged.

Powered by Zoundry Raven

A Week of Cancer News–Be Cynical!!

The American Cancer Society leads off the week with the good news that cancer deaths are continuing their slow decline. The data from 2006 attributes most of the improvement to smoking cessation and earlier diagnosis (particularly in colon cancer). We can expect to inundated with more cancer news from the ASCO (American Society of Clinical Oncology) starting this weekend–watch out for the hype and overstatements!

“The new rate shows 181 cancer deaths per 100,000 people. That was down from about 184 in 2005.”

“The CDC recently reported death rates fell for:

• Lung and trachea cancers, from 54 deaths per 100,000 in 2005 to 51.5 in 2006.

• Colorectal cancers, from 18 to 17 per 100,000.

• Breast cancer, from 27 to 23.5 per 100,000.”

It’s wonderful that fewer people are dying but it should be noted that the most effective intervention was the cheapest–prevention. By having fewer smokers in our population there were few people with lung and related cancers.

Early diagnosis also is an effective intervention. Much of the improvement in outcomes of such diseases as colon, breast and prostate cancer have nothing to do with outrageously expensive treatments but rather are due to early diagnosis and treatment because of aggressive screening for the disease–yes I know prostate screening is somewhat controversial but deaths from prostate cancer have declined since we started screening in the early 90’s.

Treatment is least effective means of extending life. Yes there are successes, such as leukemia, some lymphomas, and testicular cancer. But the survival improvement from aggressive treatment of most advanced cancers has been stagnant for 30 years. Whether new $100,000/year drugs will change this has yet to be proven–so far the data casts doubt on the cost-efficacy, and utility of such expensive treatments.

Powered by Zoundry Raven